Key Points

  1. Cost overruns are the main reason companies stall or cancel AI projects, with 38% of respondents citing cost as the primary issue.
  2. 79% of respondents expect their organization's AI budget to grow over the next year.
  3. Only 26% of respondents say their organization judges AI spending by a measurable financial return it could defend to its finance team.

Why AI Projects Fail: Cost Overruns Outpace Compute Shortages

Cost overruns are a major bottleneck for AI projects, with 38% of respondents to a recent survey citing cost as the primary reason for stalled or canceled projects. This is in contrast to compute shortages, which were cited by only 12% of respondents. Despite this, 79% of respondents expect their organization's AI budget to grow over the next year.

However, only 26% of respondents say their organization judges AI spending by a measurable financial return it could defend to its finance team. This suggests that many companies are struggling to manage the costs of their AI projects effectively.

One way to address this issue is to use open-source code and open interfaces, which can help companies change models and providers without rebuilding every integration. Commercial vendors can also support these systems in production, but the test is whether these choices improve the cost and quality of completed work.

At a Glance

Survey156 qualified respondents
Working on AI at, or consulting for, organizations with at least 100 employees
Cost Overruns38%
Reason for stalled or canceled AI projects
Compute Shortages12%
Reason for stalled or canceled AI projects
AI Budget Growth79%
Respondents expecting AI budget growth over the next year
Measurable Financial Return26%
Respondents with organizations judging AI spending by a measurable financial return

Where the Sides Stand

Companies

Position: Cost overruns are a major bottleneck for AI projects

Role in the story: Respondents to the survey

Motivation: To highlight the need for better cost management in AI projects (our reading)

Investors

Position: Cost overruns are a major concern for AI projects

Role in the story: Respondents to the survey

Motivation: To highlight the need for better cost management in AI projects (our reading)

Behind the Headlines: The Real Reason AI Projects Stall

Behind the Headlines: The Real Reason AI Projects Stall

The real reason AI projects stall is not due to compute shortages, but rather cost overruns. This is a major concern for companies, as it can lead to stalled or canceled projects. However, it's not just companies that are concerned - investors are also worried about the pace of future data-center construction.

One way to address this issue is to use open-source code and open interfaces, which can help companies change models and providers without rebuilding every integration. Commercial vendors can also support these systems in production, but the test is whether these choices improve the cost and quality of completed work.

Industry groups are trying to close the measurement gap by developing open standards for measuring AI costs and returns. This will help companies to better understand the costs of their AI projects and make more informed decisions.

What to Do About AI Project Cost Overruns

What to Do About AI Project Cost Overruns

Companies can take several steps to address AI project cost overruns:

  • Evaluate model choice against real work, then measure cost alongside quality.
  • Use open-source code and open interfaces to change models and providers without rebuilding every integration.
  • Commercial vendors can support these systems in production, but the test is whether these choices improve the cost and quality of completed work.
  • Industry groups are developing open standards for measuring AI costs and returns, which will help companies to better understand the costs of their AI projects and make more informed decisions.

Risk & Opportunity Assessment

Commercial RiskMediumCost overruns can lead to stalled or canceled projects, which can have significant financial consequences for companies
Competitive RiskLowWhile cost overruns are a major concern for companies, they are not a significant competitive risk at this time
Regulatory RiskLowThere are no significant regulatory risks associated with AI project cost overruns at this time
Reputation RiskMediumCost overruns can damage a company's reputation and erode trust with investors and customers
Technology DisruptionLowWhile AI project cost overruns are a significant concern, they are not a technology disruption at this time
Commercial OpportunityHighCompanies that can effectively manage the costs of their AI projects will have a significant commercial opportunity to differentiate themselves from their competitors